BMJ Global Health

Estimates of the marginal cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted from government health expenditure (GHE) provide an empirical basis for allocating scarce health resources to maximise population health. Existing cross-country estimates have informed priority setting in several countries and international policy discussions but are based on data that are now more than a decade old. Since then, patterns of health expenditure, disease burden, and global health financing have changed substantially. This paper provides updated estimates of the marginal cost per DALY averted for 92 low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) by applying previously estimated elasticities of the effect of GHE on health outcomes from Ochalek et al. (2018) to recent data on mortality, morbidity, population structure, and GHE. Two policy options for improving health in LMIC are assessed: (1) the implications of countries allocating 15% of general government expenditure to health consistent with the Abuja Declaration; and (2) reallocating development assistance for health (DAH) to maximise health across countries. Scenario analyses use the estimated elasticities to reflect diminishing marginal returns to health expenditure when calculating the health gains associated with additional resources. Updated estimates of the marginal costs per DALY averted range from approximately $78 to $15,789 across countries. In most countries (72%), estimates are higher than in the previous analysis, largely reflecting increases in GHE. Increasing domestic expenditure to achieve the Abuja Declaration objective would avert 234 million DALYs but require $563 billion across countries. Reallocating $39.1 billion in existing DAH could avert 133.6 million DALYs. Updated estimates provide an empirical basis for informing both domestic priority setting and the allocation of international health financing. Aligning donor funding with country-specific opportunity costs could substantially increase the global health gains achieved with limited resources.

Background Regulatory inconsistency across African countries contributes to duplicative scientific assessments, prolonged approval timelines, and delayed access to essential medical products. To inform the operationalisation of the African Medicines Agency (AMA), the African Medicines Regulatory Harmonisation (AMRH) programme implemented Africa's first continental pilot study for the scientific evaluation and listing of human medicinal products. This study evaluates the pilot's procedural performance and examines how continental scientific opinions were translated into national regulatory decisions through reliance mechanisms. Methods and Findings A mixed-methods programme evaluation was conducted using regulatory datasets generated during the pilot study. Quantitative data included assessment timelines, GMP inspection outcomes and national post-listing regulatory actions. Retrospective qualitative thematic analysis was applied to governance documents and National Regulatory Authority (NRA) feedback to identify legal, institutional and procedural determinants influencing uptake. Of 64 expressions of interest, 24 products progressed to full evaluation and 12 received positive continental scientific opinions. Ten met the predefined performance target of [≤]210 working days. Twenty-four GMP inspections identified no critical deficiencies and aligned with global regulatory benchmarks. National uptake demonstrated active reliance: full reliance (continental opinion as primary basis for national approval) for 7 products (58%); sequential reliance (continental assessment supplemented with targeted national queries) for 3 products (25%); and supplemented national review (separate national assessment undertaken) for 2 products (17%). Products with broader market strategies achieved registration in up to 23 African countries within a median of 77 working days post-listing. Variability in uptake reflected national legal authority, administrative requirements, and applicant submission strategies Conclusions The pilot study demonstrates the feasibility of a continent-wide regulatory assessment mechanism capable of producing trusted scientific outputs and enabling reliance-based national decision-making in Africa. While reliance was widely applied, heterogeneity in national procedures and administrative sequencing affected time to national registration. Findings provide empirical evidence to inform the AMA scale-up, highlighting the need for harmonised reliance pathways, streamlined administrative processes, and coordinated digital regulatory infrastructure.

Despite robust policy frameworks, Ugandas digital health landscape is characterised by fragmentation--often termed "Pilotitis"--where stand-alone applications impede the integrated delivery of health, nutrition, and food security services. As part of the IGNITE project, this study mapped existing digital health systems (DHSs), identified systemic gaps, and explored opportunities and resource requirements for sustainable integration of existing Health, Nutrition and Food security data systems. The IGNITE project adopted a mixed-methods design; however, this paper reports findings from the first phase--a national cross-sectional survey conducted in Uganda. The survey mapped digital health, nutrition, and food security systems, identifying gaps, resource needs, and potential actions. Stakeholders from government, NGOs, academia, UN agencies, and frontline health workers were included using purposive and snowball sampling. Data were collected online and through field support. Of 134 respondents, 110 with [≥]70% survey completion was included in the analysis. While 93% of respondents utilise digital tools (predominantly DHIS2 and mobile apps), only 20% reported full automated integration with national platforms. Critical barriers to interoperability included a lack of technical expertise (90%), insufficient DHIS2 training (82%), different data formats (77%), and infrastructure constraints (75%). Respondents identified workforce development (56%) and DHIS2 use and adoption (29%) as primary opportunities. Immediate priorities include staff training and provision of mobile hardware, while long-term strategies focus on standardised data formats (78%) and formalised governance frameworks for Integrated platforms (64%) and automated data exchange (56%). Uganda possesses a vibrant but disconnected digital ecosystem. Transitioning from isolated "data islands" to a cohesive system requires addressing the massive technical capacity gap and establishing mandated interoperability guidelines. The findings provide a data-driven roadmap for the Ministry of Health and partners to optimise digital health adoption, ensuring that nutrition and food security interventions are supported by a unified, evidence-informed digital architecture

Background Kenya's facility autonomy reforms are intended to improve health system equity, efficiency, and responsiveness to community needs by shifting decision-making to the frontline. This study evaluates the implementation process and experience of facility autonomy reforms in Kenya post devolution of health services. Methods We conducted a concurrent mixed methods study of counties (n=6) in Kenya, selected based on their implementation of facility financial autonomy reforms as of June 2023. For the quantitative aspect, we assessed 141 randomly selected public health facilities across all levels of service provision. We then did a descriptive analysis to measure the level and perceptions of autonomy. For the qualitative aspect, we reviewed documents and interviewed purposively selected stakeholders (n=71) involved with autonomy reforms at national, county, and facility levels, cutting across health, finance, legal, political and community actors. We analyzed the transcripts thematically using NVivo 12. Results The emergence of the FIF reforms in Kenya was driven by the convergence of political, technical, and public needs. While counties have developed their own facility autonomy laws to fit local contexts, some provisions are not fully aligned with the national legislation. Some aspects of both the county specific and national laws are not implemented. These include allocation of matching funds from the exchequer and reimbursing facilities for expenses incurred from providing care to indigents and for unpaid bills. The implementation of autonomy also varies, with some aspects partially or not implemented. Autonomy reforms have contributed to improved decision-making, staff satisfaction, availability of essential medicines, and facility maintenance. However, challenges have emerged, including the failure of counties to provide matching funds, which disproportionately affects lower-level facilities that do not generate revenue. Additionally, the absence of waiver repayment mechanisms has led to inequities, and the risk of increased service costs threatens financial accessibility for marginalized populations. Conclusion Facility autonomy reforms support people-centered decision-making and aligns with PHC principles. While these reforms hold promise for improving service delivery and access, their success depends on complementary measures such as sustainable funding mechanisms and stronger protections for vulnerable populations.

Background: Malaria remains a major global health threat, with 249 million cases and 609,000 deaths reported in 2022. The Ashanti Region of Ghana bears a disproportionate burden, with severe malaria accounting for 24% of hospital admissions in 2021, above the national average of 19%. Despite intensified control efforts, inpatient mortality patterns remain poorly understood. This study identifies key determinants of severe malaria mortality among hospitalized patients in the Ashanti Region. Methods: We analyzed inpatient surveillance data from the District Health Information Management System 2 (DHIMS2) for severe malaria admissions from 2018 to 2022. Descriptive statistics, bivariate analyses with robust survey estimation (accounting for design effects), and multivariable Firth penalized logistic regression were used to identify mortality predictors. Survey-adjusted logistic regression served as a sensitivity analysis to validate findings. Results: Among 54,544 severe malaria admissions, females comprised 51.1% and children under five 39.4%. The case fatality rate was 0.4% (200 deaths). Mortality was significantly associated with age, occupation, insurance status, facility ownership, admitting department, length of stay, and comorbidities. Males had 1.4 times higher mortality odds than females. Compared to children under five, patients aged 5 to 17 years had 44% lower odds of mortality (aOR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.94). Active NHIS membership had lower mortality odds by 67% (aOR=0.33, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.45) compared to inactive membership. Admissions to faith-based facilities showed lower mortality odds (aOR=0.38, 95% CI: 0.23, 0.65) than government facilities, while medical wards had higher odds (aOR=2.38, 95% CI: 1.48, 3.84) than paediatric wards. Stays of 3 to 5 days were associated with lower mortality odds (aOR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.47, 0.97) compared to stays <3 days. Those with comorbidities had twice the mortality odds versus those without. Sensitivity analysis confirmed consistent direction and significance. Conclusion: Age, comorbidities, insurance coverage, facility type, and admission practices strongly influence severe malaria mortality in Ashanti. Strengthening NHIS enrollment, extending inpatient monitoring beyond three days, and adopting best practices from paediatric and faith based facilities could improve survival. Integrating comorbidity screening and management into malaria protocols is essential to reducing preventable deaths.

Comprehensive geographic data are essential to accurately model geographic accessibility to healthcare and to guide equitable health system planning and implementation. In low-income countries, however, incomplete road and building data in global databases such as OpenStreetMap (OSM) limit the precision and operational applications of geographic accessibility models. Following a successful pilot in one district of Madagascar, we evaluated the scalability of an exhaustive mapping approach to produce highly granulated household-level accessibility estimates at regional and national levels. Using satellite imagery and the OSM platform, we mapped all buildings, roads, footpaths, and rice fields across seven additional districts in southeastern Madagascar. We estimated travel routes, distance and travel time between each household and the nearest primary health center (PHC) or community health site (CHS) using the OSM Routing Machine, combined with predictions of travel speed from a locally calibrated statistical model. We then assessed population density and mapping completeness for roads and buildings in our study area and across Madagascar using AI-generated reference datasets (Microsoft and Facebook/MapWithAI) and estimated corresponding mapping times. Finally, we estimated the resources required in person-years to scale this approach across Madagascar using two different extrapolation methods. Nearly one and a half million buildings and 197,000 km of footpaths were added to OSM across the eight mapped districts, for a total area of about 30,200 km2. Between 24% and 65% of the population lived within one hour of a PHC depending on the district, and 87%-99% lived within one hour of a CHS. Most Malagasy districts were classified as having low completeness for both buildings and roads. Scaling up the approach to cover the entire country would require between 220 and 350 person-years depending on the extrapolation method and assumptions used. Mapping an entire country with sufficient detail to precisely model healthcare accessibility for every household is feasible but resource-intensive. Combining human mapping, participatory approaches, and AI-assisted datasets can substantially improve OSM completeness and generate actionable, high-resolution travel-time data for health planning. Our findings provide a roadmap for Madagascar and other countries seeking to develop national-scale geospatial infrastructure for sustainable development and universal health coverage.

IntroductionIncreasing global prevalence of overweight and obesity underscores the need for context-specific evidence to guide preventive policy implementation. Previous modelling showed that promoting healthy indigenous foods, implementing a 20% tax on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), and introducing mandatory kilojoule menu labelling in formal-sector restaurants in Kenya were health-promoting, cost-saving, and cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness evidence is strengthened when considered alongside broader policy implementation considerations. We engaged stakeholders to assess additional implementation considerations relevant to decision-makers and to evaluate the stakeholder engagement process used in the modelling study. MethodsUsing the Assessing Cost-Effectiveness approach, we conducted a stakeholder-engaged study with national-level Kenya stakeholders recruited through purposive and snowball sampling. Through deliberative dialogue at a hybrid workshop, stakeholders assessed implementation considerations such as equity, feasibility and sustainability using a colour-coded scoring tool. We evaluated the engagement process using an anonymous survey covering seven stakeholder-engaged research domains. We analysed responses thematically. ResultsAcross the three interventions, most implementation considerations for feasibility, reach and impact, affordability, acceptability, and sustainability were assessed as medium or high. Industry acceptability of kilojoule labelling and SSB tax and affordability of kilojoule labelling to industry were rated low. Equity scores varied. Stakeholders proposed complementary measures that could raise low ratings to favorable scores. Clarity on stakeholder roles was identified as a key strength of the engagement process, while competing time commitments limited participation. ConclusionStakeholder insights contextualise prior cost-effectiveness evidence within policy-relevant implementation considerations and inform current fiscal and regulatory debates. Evaluation of the stakeholder engagement process underscores its contribution to strengthening public health research.

Background: Child acute malnutrition remains persistently above emergency thresholds in Chad's Sahelian drylands, with a predictable, but rarely recognized, dry season peak linked to declining pasture and livestock productivity, reduced milk availability and heightened exposure to zoonotic infections. Humanitarian responses remain largely reactive and treatment-focused, with limited evidence on preventive strategies that address drivers embedded in local livelihood systems. We evaluated the effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of an integrated livestock management intervention designed to prevent the dry-season peak of child acute malnutrition in pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in Chad. Methods: We conducted a cluster-randomised controlled trial in Kanem and Barh-El-Gazel provinces, Chad. Seventy-six villages were randomised (1:1) to intervention or control. Eligible households had at least one child aged 6-59 months and access to milking livestock during the dry season. The intervention (December 2024-June 2025) combined livestock feed supplementation to sustain milk production near households during the dry season, household-level zoonotic risk mitigation, and nutrition counselling. Primary outcomes were the prevalence of global acute malnutrition (GAM) and severe acute malnutrition (SAM) at the dry-season peak (May 2025), assessed in a prespecified random subsample of 52 clusters. All 76 clusters were assessed post-peak (July 2025). Analyses followed an intention-to-treat approach using mixed-effects models. A societal ROI analysis was conducted over six months with projections to 24 months. Findings: At the dry-season peak, 821 children 6-59 months from 521 households were assessed across 52 villages. GAM prevalence was 22.2% in intervention villages versus 47.4% in controls (adjusted OR 0.29 [95% CI 0.18-0.49]; p<0.001), and SAM prevalence was 4.4% versus 19.4% (adjusted OR 0.17 [0.08-0.37]; p<0.001). Intervention households had higher daily milk availability (+588 mL per household; p<0.001), and children consumed more milk (+102 mL per day; p=0.008). Odds of self-reported diarrhoeal disease and acute respiratory infection were substantially lower among children in intervention villages (aOR 0.21 [0.10-0.44] and 0.22 [0.11-0.46], respectively). Post-peak, women's dietary diversity increased (aOR 3.68 [1.90-7.13]), alongside reduced workload, lower household food insecurity and distress livestock sales, improved livestock condition, and a benefit-cost ratio of 5.40 at six months, rising to 16.40 at 24 months. Interpretation: Protecting livestock productivity and sustaining children's access to milk while reducing zoonotic exposure during the pastoral lean season effectively prevents seasonal peaks of child acute malnutrition. This integrated anticipatory action and One Health livelihood-based approach offers a scalable, dignifying, high-return lifesaving preventive model for pastoral and agro-pastoral humanitarian settings.

Care workers are central to health systems and the broader care economy, but they often lack the legal protections afforded to other workers. Furthermore, there currently exists no single legal definition of "care worker" under any binding or non-binding international legal instrument. Drawing on the WHO Global Health and Care Worker Compact, we analyzed whether national laws and policies in 10 countries protect care workers. Using comparative legal methods and primary source legal and policy documents, we evaluated both care worker coverage and alignment with four indicators: guaranteed access to protective equipment, protection against discrimination on internationally recognized grounds, unemployment insurance, and the right to join independent unions. We reviewed 43 laws and policies and found that 56% fully or partially met the relevant indicator criteria. The United Kingdom was the only country meeting all four indicators. Overall, we found while many countries recognize these protections in law, care workers are often left outside their coverage, underscoring the need for clearer legal recognition and more inclusive worker protections.

BackgroundInsecticides remain the cornerstone of mosquito vector control for malaria, dengue, and other mosquito-borne diseases, yet global patterns of deployment and their socioeconomic and environmental drivers are poorly characterized. Understanding where and why insecticides are used is essential for better targeting control efforts and ensuring they are effective, equitable, and efficient. MethodsWe analyzed annual country-level insecticide-use data from 122 countries (1990-2019), reported as standard spray coverage for insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), residual spraying (RS), spatial spraying (SS), and larviciding (LA). Generalized linear mixed models and hurdle models quantified associations between deployment and disease incidence, human development index (HDI), human population density, temperature, and precipitation. Models were evaluated using repeated cross-validation and applied to generate downscaled predictions of insecticide use at subnational administrative region level 2 (ADM2) globally. FindingsInsecticide deployment increased with malaria and dengue incidence, but this response was substantially stronger in higher-HDI countries, indicating that deployment depends on socioeconomic capacity as well as disease burden that leads to weaker scaling in lower-resource settings. Intervention types exhibited distinct patterns; ITN use tracked malaria burden, whereas infrastructure-intensive approaches (e.g., RS and SS) were concentrated in higher-HDI settings and increased with Aedes-borne disease incidence. Downscaled ADM2-level maps uncovered substantial within-country heterogeneity that is obscured at the national scale, highlighting regions where predicted deployment remains low relative to disease risk across sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and parts of Latin America. InterpretationGlobal insecticide deployment reflects not only epidemiological need but also economic and logistical capacity, creating mismatches between risk and control. High-resolution mapping can support more equitable allocation of interventions, guide insecticide resistance stewardship, and improve strategic planning as climate and urbanization reshape mosquito-borne disease risk.

Background During Nigeria's largest recorded diphtheria outbreak, hospital capacity in Kano State was rapidly overwhelmed. Medecins Sans Frontieres introduced home-based care (HBC) for patients with mild disease to prioritise facility-based care for severe cases. We assessed whether HBC was non-inferior to facility-based treatment in terms of mortality, sequelae, and household transmission. Methods We conducted a retrospective matched cohort study. Mild diphtheria cases treated between January 2023 and May 2024 were matched 1:1 by treatment modality (HBC or diphtheria treatment centre [DTC]) on sex, age group, vaccination status, and residence. Conditional logistic regression estimated the association between treatment modality and mortality, with robustness assessed through propensity score weighting, sensitivity analyses, and E-value computation. Findings Of 990 sampled patients, 678 (367 HBC, 311 DTC) were enrolled (68.5%). After adjustment, treatment modality was not independently associated with mortality (HBC vs. DTC: aOR 0.40, 95% CI 0.13-1.30), with similar estimates across sensitivity analyses (E-value 4.40). Clinical complications were the strongest predictor of death (aOR 23.1, 95% CI 1.73-307). Vaccination was protective (aOR 0.28, 95% CI 0.08-0.94) and treatment delay of four or more days increased mortality (aOR 4.15, 95% CI 1.23-14.0). HBC was not associated with increased household transmission or long-term sequelae. Interpretation Vaccination and early treatment, rather than care setting, were the main determinants of survival. When supported by clinical triage and structured follow-up, decentralised care can be used to manage mild cases during diphtheria epidemics in settings with constrained hospital capacity.

Background Ghana introduced the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) in 2003 and the Free Maternal Healthcare Policy (FMHCP) in 2008 to remove financial barriers and promote universal health coverage. Despite these landmark policies, socioeconomic inequalities in maternal healthcare utilisation may persist. This study quantifies socioeconomic inequalities in antenatal care (ANC) receipt and place of delivery and decomposes the key drivers of inequality using the most recent nationally representative survey data. Methods We analysed the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey women's file, restricting to women who reported a live birth in the five years preceding the survey (n = 5,134; weighted population {approx} 4.66 million). Outcome variables were adequate ANC ([&ge;]4 visits, and [&ge;]8 visits in sensitivity analysis) and place of delivery (home, public facility, private facility). The concentration index (CI) was computed for adequate ANC, and the Wagstaff decomposition method was applied to quantify the contribution of wealth, education, residence, NHIS membership, and access barriers. Multinomial logistic regression examined factors associated with place of delivery. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation by chained equations (20 datasets). All analyses accounted for the complex survey design. Results Overall, 88.6% (95% CI: 87.0-90.2%) of women achieved [&ge;]4 ANC visits. The concentration index for adequate ANC was 0.0391 (95% CI: 0.0291-0.0491; p < 0.001), indicating statistically significant pro-rich inequality. Using the WHO threshold of [&ge;]8 visits, the CI increased more than fourfold to 0.1728 (95% CI: 0.1428-0.2028). Home delivery was most prevalent among the poorest women (46.7%), while private facility delivery dominated among the richest (46.1%). Decomposition showed that rural residence (16.4%), NHIS membership (16.4%), and geographical region (15.6%) were the largest positive contributors to pro-rich inequality, whereas secondary education exerted the strongest equalising effect (-22.5%). NHIS membership was associated with lower odds of home delivery (RRR = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.18-0.32) but did not eliminate the wealth gradient. Together, included determinants explained 71.3% of total inequality. Conclusions Despite high coverage of basic ANC, substantial and policy-relevant socioeconomic inequalities persist in maternal healthcare utilisation in Ghana. Inequalities widen markedly when the stricter WHO standard is applied. Educational attainment and rural residence are primary drivers; NHIS alone is insufficient to achieve equity. Policies should address non-financial barriers, strengthen rural health infrastructure, invest in public facility quality, and promote girls' secondary education to reduce persistent maternal health disparities.

Introduction. Empirical evidence linking specific national structural policies to the provision of key HIV services in low- and middle-income settings remains scarce. This study addresses the research gap by quantifying the within-country relationships between six national structural policy indicators and the presence of the HIV prevention service component targeted at sex workers in Southeast Asia. Methods. We constructed a balanced panel dataset covering eight Southeast Asian countries from 2018 to 2025 from the UNAIDS Global AIDS Monitoring (GAM) framework. We used Fixed-Effects (FE) and Random-Effects (RE) models to analyse the relationships, with the FE model selected as the more statistically appropriate estimator. We enhanced robustness by using clustered standard errors and one-period lagged explanatory variables. Results. The primary finding from the FE model indicated a statistically significant and positive contemporaneous association between the existence of legal or administrative barriers to social protection (barriers_spi,t) and the presence of HIV prevention services for sex workers ({beta} = 0.8531; p < 0.001). However, the robustness check revealed a statistically significant negative association between the two when using the lagged barrier variable (barriers_spi,t-1), suggesting a decline in HIV prevention service availability over time ({beta} = -0.3540; p < 0.05). We did not find any other policy variable's coefficient to be statistically significant in the FE models. Conclusions. While the immediate recognition (contemporaneous effect) of structural barriers to access social protection may occur alongside prioritised HIV prevention service provision, the sustained presence of these impediments acts as a long-term constraint that undermines the effectiveness and sustainability of targeted HIV programmes. National HIV programmes must urgently prioritise the removal of structural barriers to ensure long-term service stability for key populations.

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is an increasing cause of morbidity and mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) but is often underdiagnosed and undertreated. To address this gap, the Multicomponent Intervention to Improve Myocardial Infarction Care (MIMIC) was developed and implemented in the emergency department (ED) of a regional referral center in northern Tanzania. We conducted in-depth interviews with 20 key stakeholders (physicians, nurses, administrators, and patients) who participated in MIMIC during the first year of implementation. Purposive sampling was used to recruit a broad range of participants. Interviews were guided by a semi-structured interview guide informed by the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability (TFA). Interview transcripts were thematically analyzed by a team of coders using an inductive, grounded theory approach guided by the seven TFA domains. Nineteen major themes emerged across all TFA domains. Overall, participants described MIMIC as highly acceptable, minimally burdensome, and well-aligned with professional and ethical values. Perceived effectiveness was most emphasized, with staff citing improvements in AMI recognition, ECG and troponin testing, and use of evidence-based therapies. All components were highlighted as effective and easily integrated into existing workflows. Patients valued the educational pamphlet for improving knowledge and self-efficacy, though staff expressed concerns about distributing it during acute care, contributing to inconsistent delivery. Champions were viewed as key in promoting adherence and sustaining implementation of the intervention. MIMIC was widely acceptable in all seven TFA domains among ED providers and patients, with perceived effectiveness driving positive attitudes across stakeholder groups. Use of a co-design approach in MIMIC development likely contributed to high intervention acceptability. Patient education strategies may require adaptation to improve fidelity. These findings suggest that continued implementation and future adaptation of MIMIC may be feasible.

Background. Vietnam's disease burden has shifted from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but the tempo, drivers, and regional positioning of this transition have not been jointly quantified. We characterised Vietnam's epidemiological transition 1990-2023 against ten Southeast-Asian (SEA) peers. Methods. Using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data, we computed joinpoint-regression AAPC with 95% CI (BIC-penalised, up to three break-points) for age-standardised DALY rates and cause-composition shares. We applied Das Gupta three-factor decomposition to 1990-2023 absolute DALY change (population-size, age-structure, age-specific-rate effects) and benchmarked Vietnam's NCD share against an SDI-conditional peer trajectory via leave-one-out quadratic regression. Premature mortality was quantified as WHO 30q70 under both broad NCD and strict SDG 3.4.1 definitions, using Chiang II life-table adjustment identically across all eleven countries. Findings. The CMNN age-standardised DALY rate fell from 13,295.9 to 4,022.1 per 100,000 (AAPC -4.63%/year; 95% CI -4.80 to -4.46); the NCD rate fell only from 21,688.2 to 19,282.8 (AAPC -0.37; -0.45 to -0.30). NCD share of total DALYs rose from 52.99% to 70.67% (+17.67 pp; AAPC +1.09). Vietnam ranked fourth of eleven SEA countries in 2023 (up from sixth in 1990) and sat 5.3% above the SDI-expected trajectory. Das Gupta decomposition attributed the +10.63 million NCD DALY increase to population growth (+6.26 M) and ageing (+6.08 M); rate change removed only 1.71 M. Premature NCD mortality fell from 25.02% to 21.80% (broad, 12.9% reduction) and from 22.17% to 19.50% (SDG 3.4.1, 12.0%; Vietnam sixth of eleven) - far short of the SDG 3.4 one-third-reduction target. Interpretation. Vietnam has entered a disability- and ageing-dominated NCD phase. Meeting SDG 3.4 by 2030 requires population-scale primary prevention sized to demographic momentum.

Background: In Burkina Faso, typhoid fever remains a major public health concern, with a high incidence among children younger than 15 years of age. To address this burden, the country introduced typhoid conjugate vaccine in January 2025 through a national vaccination campaign reaching children aged 9 months to 14 years. This study aimed to estimate the cost of typhoid conjugate vaccine delivery during the national campaign and to identify the main cost drivers across different administrative levels. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional, retrospective costing study using a microcosting approach from the government perspective. We collected data from fifty health facilities, eight health districts, five health regions, and the national level. Financial and economic costs were estimated for each level, excluding vaccine and syringe costs. All costs were converted to 2024 USD using the official exchange rate. Findings: Vaccinators administered a total of 10.5 million typhoid conjugate vaccine doses. The average financial cost per dose was $0.47 (95% CI: $0.39-$0.51), and the economic cost was $2.16 (95% CI: $1.71-$2.56). Human resources and per diem payments were the main contributors to costs. Costs varied by geography, delivery strategy, and security context, with higher costs observed in rural and conflict-affected areas. The mobile-temporary posts strategy had the highest economic cost per dose ($2.02; 95% CI: $1.64-$2.40), while the fixed strategy had the highest financial cost per dose ($0.41; 95% CI: ($0.32-$0.49). Conclusion: The financial cost per dose remained within Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance's operational support range. The observed cost variations highlight the need for targeted funding and enhanced logistical support to ensure equitable access, particularly in rural and insecure areas. This study provides evidence to inform future vaccination campaigns and supports decision-making for typhoid conjugate vaccine introduction in other countries in the region.

ABSTRACT Background: Malaria remains a leading public health burden in sub-Saharan Africa, disproportionately affecting children under five years. In response, Kenya introduced the RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine in selected regions, including Siaya County where malaria transmission is endemic. Despite this milestone, uptake has been inconsistent, with hesitancy emerging as a significant barrier. Objective: This study aimed to determine factors associated with malaria vaccine hesitancy among caregivers of children 6-59 months in Ugenya Subcounty, Siaya County. Methodology: A cross-sectional mixed methods design was employed involving 425 caregivers and 15 healthcare workers and County health officials between January to February 2025. Quantitative data were collected using structured questionnaires and analyzed in Stata version 17 through descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis at 20% significance threshold, and multivariable logistic regression at 5% level to determine key factors associated with malaria vaccine hesitancy. Qualitative data from 15 key informant interviews were transcribed verbatim and thematically analyzed using NVivo. Thematic analysis, guided by a predefined codebook, was used to identify recurring patterns and extract key themes, which were illustrated with direct quotations from participants Results: Overall, 42.9% of caregivers (n=181; 95% CI: 38.9%-47.3%) reported hesitancy. Significant predictors included caregiver age, marital status, family size, access to health facilities, and vaccine availability. Single caregivers, those from smaller households, and those facing health facility access challenges were more likely to be hesitant to malaria vaccine. Despite high levels of knowledge, misconceptions and misinformation about vaccine safety, often spread via social media persisted. Conversely, caregivers relying on healthcare workers and mainstream media showed greater acceptance of malaria vaccine. Conclusion and Recommendations: Malaria vaccine hesitancy remains significant at 42.9%, driven by demographic factors such as younger age, single status, and smaller household size. Structural barriers including limited vaccine availability and poor access to health facilities further contribute to reluctance. Although knowledge and awareness were high, misinformation, particularly from social media, persisted, while information from healthcare workers improved acceptance. Addressing these gaps through targeted community engagement, improved access, and trusted communication channels is essential to increase uptake of malaria vaccine.

Although the co-occurrence of diarrhea and malnutrition is well documented, research has largely focused on the acute management of diarrheal illness. Despite its importance, longitudinal evidence characterizing post-diarrheal recovery trajectories is sparse. We sought to characterize post-diarrheal nutritional recovery trajectories among children aged 6-35 months who were malnourished at enrollment using data from the Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance study (2022-2024). EFGH enrolled children aged 6-35 months presenting with medically-attended diarrhea and followed them at 4 weeks and 3 months post-enrollment. This analysis included children with baseline wasting, stunting, or underweight (z-score < -2) and complete anthropometric follow-up. Latent class mixed-effects models were used to identify distinct post-diarrheal growth trajectories based on changes in anthropometric z-scores over time. Multinomial modified Poisson regression models examined associations between baseline factors and trajectory membership. Among 9,480 enrolled children, 16.5% (n=1,561) were wasted, 22.7% (n=2,155) stunted, and 21.0% (n=1,994) underweight at baseline. Wasting showed greater recovery potential (80.8%) compared with stunting (38.5%) and underweight (40.3%). Recovery was shaped by factors across multiple levels. Clinical severity markers ( prolonged diarrhea, dehydration, and hypoxemia) increased the risk of nutritional failure. Age also influenced outcomes: infants were more likely to worsen, whereas older toddlers more often experienced stagnation. Interventions including exclusive breastfeeding, oral rehydration therapy, appropriate antibiotics, and zinc supplementation, improved outcomes, while unimproved sanitation undermined recovery. These findings highlight the need for integrated strategies combining infection control, nutritional rehabilitation, and water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions tailored to the childrens developmental stage. Key MessagesO_LIPost-diarrheal nutritional recovery is highly heterogeneous, with wasting showing the greatest potential for improvement, while stunting and underweight often result in persistent growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIBaseline anthropometric deficits alone are insufficient to predict recovery, highlighting the need for dynamic monitoring and individualized management. C_LIO_LIInfants are particularly vulnerable to acute nutritional deterioration, while older toddlers frequently experience growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIModifiable protective factors including exclusive breastfeeding, ORS, zinc, and appropriate antibiotics, improved outcomes, whereas poor sanitation undermined recovery. C_LIO_LIIntegrated strategies, tailored to a childs developmental stage, combining clinical care, nutrition, and environmental interventions are critical to support sustained child growth and development. C_LI

Background Nigeria has experienced its largest recorded diphtheria outbreak since late 2022, centred on Kano State, where facility-based surveillance documented over 25,000 confirmed cases. The true community burden remains unknown. We conducted a population-based household survey to estimate community attack rates, mortality, vaccination coverage, and determinants of infection and death. Methods We performed a retrospective household survey (September-October 2024) using spatially randomised cluster sampling (65 clusters, ~15 households each; recall period January 2023 to interview). Survey-weighted analyses, multivariable logistic regression, and sensitivity analyses were used. Findings We enrolled 7,998 individuals from 1,068 households. The community attack rate was 1.1% (95% CI 0.7-1.4), 4.2 times (2.7-5.3) higher than facility-based estimates. The case fatality ratio was 8.8% (1.9-15.6) overall and 21.3% among children under five; two thirds of deaths occurred at home. Delayed care-seeking of four or more days was associated with markedly higher mortality (risk ratio 32.6, 95% CI 2.4-450.0). Vaccination was strongly protective against death (vaccine effectiveness 57%, 95% CI 34- 72%; E-value 4.07). Among campaign-eligible children, routine EPI coverage was 56.6%; the reactive campaign reached few previously unvaccinated children (99.7% overlap with prior recipients), leaving 11.6% of eligible children unvaccinated. Interpretation Community diphtheria burden substantially exceeded facility surveillance estimates, with most deaths occurring outside the health system. Delayed care-seeking and low vaccination coverage were the main drivers of mortality, highlighting the need for improved community surveillance, decentralised care, and better-targeted vaccination.

Background Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health challenge, with two-thirds of the global TB burden in ten Asian countries. Social vulnerabilities, comorbidities, health inequity, multi-dimensional poverty, malnutrition, and barriers to healthcare access continue to fuel TB epidemic. Inability to detect asymptomatic and sub-clinical TB, combined with passive approach in service delivery and overreliance on smear microscopy, leads to delayed diagnosis, a substantial burden of undetected cases, and continuing TB transmission in the communities. In such a context, the introduction and scale-up of active case-finding approaches - including community-based TB screening using highly sensitive screening tools and novel rapid diagnostics - becomes a strategic priority to interrupt transmission. The growing availability of multiple screening and diagnostic options makes evidence-based decision-making increasingly complex. Methods To estimate the potential epidemiological impact and cost implications of scaling up TB diagnostics and community-based screening in ten high-burden Asian countries, we constructed a mathematical model and evaluated multiple intervention scenarios. We then assessed and compared four service delivery models: 1) digital ultraportable chest x-ray (UPCXR) & Xpert/Truenat in community, 2) digital UPCXR in community and Xpert/Truenat at health facilities, 3) digital UPCXR in community and near point of care (nPOC) at health facilities, 4) nPOC in community & Xpert/Truenat at health facilities - for total investment required and projected health benefits for their cost-effectiveness. Results and conclusions The modelling study indicated that strengthening health facility capacity (with enhanced TB screening, expanded molecular diagnostics, reduced loss to follow-up, private sector standard of care, leading to increased treatment coverage & quality of active disease treatment and reduced post-treatment relapse, scale-up of TB preventive treatment (TPT), and provision of nutritional support to 80% of TB patients and their household contacts) can significantly reduce TB incidence and mortality; however, community-wide mass screening remains essential to achieving TB elimination targets . Targeted screening of vulnerable populations demonstrated greater cost-effectiveness than untargeted screening approaches. Achieving the End TB goals will ultimately require an effective TB vaccine with high population-level coverage. AI-enabled digital UPCXR-based screening combined with Xpert/Truenat testing at the community level demonstrated maximum epidemiological impact potential, while the most cost-efficient model is Digital UPCXR in the community combined with nPOC testing at health facilities. An investment of USD 12.7 billion over the next five years in community-level implementation of digital UPCXR and molecular diagnostics could avert an additional 9.8 million TB cases and 1.9 million deaths across ten Asian countries over a ten-year horizon.